Every technological inflection point underdelivers in the near term and fails to fulfill the wild promises of its most zealous prophets. The question is not whether there is excess hype around GenAI—there most certainly is. The question is not whether there is a GenAI bubble—again, yes, certainly. The question is whether there is signal in all this noise. When you look beyond the nonsense, is there a genuine breakthrough that merits investment in dollars and attention? At LexFusion, we believe the answer is in the affirmative—even though we do not concur with every wild claim made about humanity’s AI-enabled future.
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Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates sees another paradigm shift in generative A.I. tools like OpenAI's ChatGPT.
Andrew Ng, chief scientist at Baidu, discusses the potential and challenges of AI. He highlights the rapid progress in computer vision technology and its applications but acknowledges that the "killer app" for AI is yet to be found. Ng addresses concerns about destructive AI, stating that it's difficult to predict what might happen hundreds of years from now. He draws an analogy between AI and building a rocket ship, emphasizing the need for large datasets to fuel deep learning models. Ng also shares his perspective on self-driving cars and the future of education.
The Techno-Optimist Manifesto by Andreessen Horowitz promotes a belief in the power of technology to create abundance and improve the human condition. It advocates for making intelligence and energy cheap, driving down prices, and increasing material abundance. The manifesto rejects stagnation, statism, and anti-achievement ideologies, and emphasizes the importance of individual agency, competition, and technological progress. It envisions a future where technology liberates human potential and opens up new possibilities for human flourishing.
There's a full-blown moral panic about AI right now. But the real risk is losing the race to global AI technological superiority.
The article discusses the firing of Sam Altman, founder and CEO of OpenAI, by the board of directors. It highlights the conflict between AI doomers and those focused on commercializing AI products. The author criticizes the AI doom movement for its lack of accomplishments and tactical incompetence.
The rate of technological advancement in the US has been decelerating since around 1970, over a half-century. This is likely the most alarming and important trend in modern American society. And the resulting lack of growth is manifested in society by a general pessimism about the future, declining standards of living, and antipathy toward the technology industry. But the root cause of this pernicious state of stagnation is more rarely discussed—innovation has been continuing, but its impact on society is smaller. Slower growth means people are fighting over an increasingly fixed pie, creating more conflict. This, coupled with a rising debt-to-GDP ratio, does not seem like a formula for future prosperity. The solution is building technology that does have a significant impact on productivity. And lately, people have been turning toward AI as our potential savior.
A collaborative whiteboard app called "tldraw" has released a prototype feature called "Make it Real" that uses AI to turn user-drawn images into functioning software. The feature uses OpenAI's GPT-4V API to interpret vector drawings into Tailwind CSS and JavaScript code, allowing users to create user interfaces and simple games. The release has generated excitement among developers who have demonstrated the creation of functioning sliders, tic-tac-toe games, and more. While a live demo is available, it requires an API key from OpenAI, which poses a security risk. The tldraw app, developed by Steve Ruiz, is an open-source tool that received seed funding and integration of the AI-powered functionality. This development showcases a potential future of software development and interface design, where AI models can turn visual mock-ups into working prototypes.
Meta's chief AI scientist, Yann LeCun, dismisses fears of superintelligent AI wiping out humanity, stating that current AI models are less intelligent than a cat and lack the capability for planning and real reasoning. He argues that the idea of AI dominance is based on science fiction and that intelligence does not equate to a desire for domination. LeCun believes that reaching human-level intelligence would require significant breakthroughs and that AI systems could be encoded with moral character to prevent them from going rogue.
Expect changes in the way people access knowledge, relate to knowledge and think about themselves
Bill Gates explains why AI is as revolutionary as personal computers, mobile phones, and the Internet, and he gives three principles for how to think about it.
In a recent opinion piece, Josh Tyrangiel discusses the dual perspectives on AI, highlighting concerns and potential benefits. He emphasizes the need for thoughtful preparation and a balanced outlook.
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